• MESO: Tornado Watch TN/KY

    From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Tuesday, April 02, 2024 15:18:00
    ACUS11 KWNS 021950
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 021949
    KYZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-022145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0352
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0249 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

    Areas affected...Portions of Middle/Eastern Tennessee into eastern
    Kentucky

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...77...

    Valid 021949Z - 022145Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 77 continues.

    SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue into the evening as
    additional storms do appear probable. Wind profiles will remain
    favorable, but thermodynamic profiles are less supportive. A new
    tornado watch will be needed.

    DISCUSSION...Storms have struggled to mature and organize across
    much of Tennessee into eastern Kentucky. The 18Z observed sounding
    from Nashville showed very favorable wind profile for rotating
    storms, though the thermodynamic profile indicated weak lapse rates
    due to the influence of earlier convection/precipitation. Lack of
    cloud cover near the surface boundary within the Mississippi Valley
    has allowed some destabilization to occur and cumulus continue to
    deepen in this area. Mid-level height falls will continue to
    increase into the evening and the wind profile should still favor
    tornado potential with any organized storms. That being said,
    additional storms appear probable later this afternoon into the
    evening either with the boundary or moving northeast out of
    Mississippi. The main question will be how intense this activity
    will be given the thermodynamic constraints. With WW 75 set to
    expire at 3 PM CDT, a new watch will be needed to account for some
    continued tornado potential into the evening.

    ..Wendt.. 04/02/2024

    ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

    LAT...LON 35068608 34378780 34008884 33848921 33948966 34508972
    35598884 35988846 36318806 36448725 37218542 37368439
    37958315 38008309 37618250 37288254 36598295 36248369
    35768468 35068608


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