Mesoscale Discussion 0426
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0909 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025
Areas affected...central and southern Alabama...far southeast
Mississippi...the western Florida Panhandle...and western/central
Georgia
Concerning...Tornado Watch 131...
Valid 061409Z - 061545Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 131 continues.
SUMMARY...Some strengthening of storms across the eastern parts of
tornado watch 131 are expected this morning. A tornado watch will
likely be needed soon.
DISCUSSION...A relative lull in convective intensity has occurred
with theline of storms across Alabama and into far southeast
Mississippi. Some convective coverage/intensity increase has been
observed across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama within
the last hour or two. This is likely associated with a strengthening
low-level jet (sampled by the MOB VWP). Downstream of these storms,
some heating is possible through broken cloud cover which could be
enough to erode the inhibition in the open warm sector (sample by
the FFC 12Z RAOB). This strengthening low-level jet, combined with
some heating/destabilization should support some continued severe
weather threat east of watch 131 late this morning and into the
afternoon. Strong deep-layer and low-level shear across the warm
sector will support rotating updrafts and the potential for some
tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. Weak lapse rates and mostly
limited storm mode should keep hail production limited.